2022 Stanley Cup Final | Game 4 Preview – Tampa Bay Lightning at Colorado Avalanche: June 24, 2022

NHL Morning Skate: Stanley Cup Final Edition – June 24, 2022 

Game 5 Trends
* Teams with a 3-1 lead in a best-of-seven hold an all-time series record of 298-31 (.906), including a 2-1 (.667) clip in 2022 and a 35-1 (.972) mark in the Stanley Cup Final. 

* A team has rallied from a 3-1 deficit to force a Game 7 on 63 occurrences, with 49.2% of those who forced a seventh and deciding game eventually winning the series (31 of 63). A team has rallied from a 3-1 deficit to force a Game 7 in a Stanley Cup Series six times with the most recent being the Oilers in 2006. The only team to win Game 7 was the 1942 Maple Leafs against the Red Wings.

Game 5 record in best-of-seven: 25-16 (.610) overall, 15-11 (.577) at home 
Game 5 record in Stanley Cup Final: 0-1 (.000), contest was at home 
Leading 3-1 in best-of-seven: 12-2 (.857) overall, 9-2 (.818) starting at home; 1-0 in 2022 
Leading 3-2 in best-of-seven: 13-5 (.722) overall, 7-3 (.700) starting at home 
The Avalanche/Nordiques franchise have never led 3-1 in Stanley Cup Final 

Tampa Bay
Game 5 record in best-of-seven: 17-13 (.567) overall, 5-8 (.385) on the road 
Game 5 record in Stanley Cup Final: 1-3 (.250) overall, have yet to play on the road 
Trailing 3-1 in best-of-seven: 1-2 (.333) overall, 1-2 (.333) starting on road  
Trailing 3-2 in best-of-seven: 4-4 (.500) overall, 2-3 (.400) starting on the road; 1-1 in Stanley Cup Final 

* The Avalanche enters the potential series-clinching game sporting a 15-3 record and can join elite company should they oust the Lightning in Game 5. Since 1987 when all rounds became best-of-seven, only one team has finished a postseason with fewer than four losses: the 1988 Oilers, who went 16-2 plus their no-decision in the suspended game during the Final (which was tied 3-3 when called), en route to their fourth championship in five years.

* Colorado can become just the fifth team in the past 20 years to win the Stanley Cup after concluding the regular season atop its conference. Chicago (2012-13), Detroit (2007-08 & 2001-02) and Tampa Bay (2003-04) are the only clubs to do so through that span to date. 

* Since his postseason debut during the 2014 Stanley Cup Playoffs, which began with a three-assist outing against the Wild in Game 1 of the First Round, only three players have netted more goals in potential series-clinching contests than Nathan MacKinnon (8 G in 11 GP): Bryan Rust (10 G in 19 GP), Jake Guentzel (10 G in 13 GP) and Brock Nelson (9 G in 13 GP).

* The Lightning will be facing elimination for just the fourth time dating to their first championship in 2020 (Game 6 & 7 of 2022 R1 vs. TOR & Game 7 of 2021 SF vs. NYI) – a run which has amassed 69 games in the past three postseasons. Each of those three elimination contests were decided by a one-goal margin with Tampa allowing only one goal or fewer in two of those games.

Corey Perry leads the Lightning’s active roster in both goals and points in contests when his team has faced elimination (10-5—15 in 26 GP). Perry holds an all-time record of 14-12 in those scenarios as a member of the Lightning, Canadiens, Stars and Ducks – his experience and win total sits second amongst his teammates behind Ryan McDonagh (18-9; 27 GP).

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