NHL Showdown: Islanders’ Defense vs Canucks’ Goaltending

By Andrew Phillip Chernoff | CanucksBanter

December 18, 2025

This Friday night matchup at UBS Arena features two teams on starkly different trajectories in the 2025-26 campaign. The New York Islanders (19-12-3) sit comfortably in 2nd place in the Metropolitan Division, finding success under Patrick Roy’s structured defensive system.

In contrast, the Vancouver Canucks (13-17-3) are a team in turmoil, currently 8th in the Pacific Division and navigating a chaotic December defined by significant roster turnover and key injuries.

While the Islanders are the favorites on paper, injuries to their own forward group level the playing field slightly, setting the stage for a goaltending duel between Ilya Sorokin and Thatcher Demko.

The contest, scheduled for a 4:00 PM PST puck drop, pits the Metropolitan Division contender seeking to solidify its playoff positioning against a Pacific Division organization in the midst of trying to work its’ way back to the glories of its’ past success as a franchise by recapturing that formula and key elements that past successful Canucks teams seized and historically centered on: a combination of strong asset management, elite goaltending, effective coaching systems, and a blend of star players and valuable depth.

CanucksIslandersEdge
Record13-17-3 (29 pts)19-12-3 (41 pts)NYI
Last 104-5-16-3-1NYI
Goals For/GP2.72 (27th)2.91 (20th)NYI
Goals Ag/GP3.39 (25th)2.73 (7th)NYI
Power Play20.0%16.5%VAN
Penalty Kill78.5%82.3%NYI

New York Islanders

Record: 19-12-3, 41 pts, .603 Pts% | Home: 10-6-2, .611 Pts%

Under Patrick Roy, the Islanders have doubled down on defensive accountability. They have allowed only 93 goals this season (10th best in the NHL), suffocating opponents in the neutral zone. Their penalty kill remains a strength at over 82%.

The major storyline for New York is the absence of Bo Horvat, who suffered a lower-body injury on December 11 against Anaheim. Not only does this rob the game of the “Horvat vs. Canucks” narrative, but it also removes the Islanders’ leading scorer (19 goals, 31 points) from the lineup. With Kyle Palmieri (ACL) also out, the Islanders’ offensive depth is severely tested. They will rely heavily on Mathew Barzal and captain Anders Lee to generate offense against a Canucks team that bleeds chances.

Ilya Sorokin continues to be the team’s MVP. With a .916 save percentage and 12 wins, he consistently steals games where the Islanders’ offense goes dormant. Against a Vancouver team missing its top playmakers, Sorokin could be in for a quiet night—or a shutout performance.

Vancouver Canucks

Record: 13-17-3, 29 pts, .439 Pts% | Road: 9-7-2, .556 Pts%

The Canucks are in the midst of a massive identity shift.

The recent blockbuster trade of captain Quinn Hughes (to Minnesota) has left a leadership void and a completely new look on the blue line. While the return package—featuring young talents like Marco Rossi and Zeev Buium—offers hope for the future, the immediate on-ice product is in transition.

Compounding the trade chaos is the absence of Elias Pettersson, who is on IR with an upper-body injury until at least December 22.

Without Hughes to drive play from the back end and Pettersson to finish, the Canucks’ offense has plummeted to 27th in the league (90 goals for).

They are averaging just 2.73 goals per game, and is need of an offensive breakout if the team is going to improve on that stat sooner then later.

Thatcher Demko (7-5-0, 2.45 GAA) remains the one stabilizing force. Despite the team’s struggles, his individual numbers are respectable.

He is coming off a morale-boosting 3-0 shutout win over the Rangers, and if he starts against the Islanders, he has already proved he can steal games single-handedly. He will need to be perfect again for Vancouver to have a chance.

Strategic Focus

Vancouver Canucks

  • With Hughes gone, and Pettersson on IR, the offense has fallen to unlikely heroes.
    • Kiefer Sherwood has been a revelation, scoring 13 goals this season (including a key role in recent games). Jake DeBrusk and newly acquired Marco Rossi must generate offense by committee.
  • The defense is now anchored by Filip Hronek and potentially the young pieces acquired in recent moves (like Zeev Buium if active, or depth veterans).
    • Expect the Islanders to forecheck heavily against this patchwork defensive corps to force turnovers.
  • Thatcher Demko (fresh off a 23-save shutout vs. NYR) is the only reason this game is projected to be close, if he starts.
    • He would face an Islanders team that is efficient but not explosive, primarily due to injuries and players playing hurt.

New York Islanders

  • The Islanders are 19-12-3 and playing typical disciplined hockey under Patrick Roy. They allow just 2.73 goals per game.
    • Against a Vancouver team missing its three biggest offensive threats due to lineup changes, injuries and trades, New York will likely clog the neutral zone and force the Canucks to dump and chase.
  • Ilya Sorokin (.916 SV% lifetime) will likely be in the net.
    • If playing, he probably won’t face high-danger passing plays (the kind Hughes used to create), but he’ll have to be sharp against deflection plays from Sherwood and Garland.
  • The Islanders have their own concerns.
    • Bo Horvat (lower body) missed Tuesday’s game, and his status is crucial for this matchup against his former team but may not be cleared to play.
    • If Horvat sits, the Islanders’ center depth takes a hit, potentially leveling the playing field, as Mathew Barzal is also dealing with nagging issues but is expected to play, but not at 100 percent.

Keys To Win

Vancouver Canucks

Starting Goalie (most likely Demko) Must Be the Best Player on Ice

  • With Quinn Hughes (traded) and Elias Pettersson (IR) out, just like the game against the Rangers, the Canucks simply do not have the firepower to win a high-scoring track meet.
  • Thatcher Demko stole the game against the Rangers with a 23-save shutout. He, or Lankinen if he starts, needs to replicate that performance. He must control rebounds and freeze play often to give a tired, undermanned team a breather. If he allows more than 2 goals, Vancouver likely loses.

Manufacture A Crease and Slot Offense

  • The pristine passing lanes usually exploited by Hughes are gone.
  • This has to be a different offensive strategy game. Kiefer Sherwood and Conor Garland need to drag pucks into the fight areas (the crease and slot). The Canucks must rely on point shots from Hronek and the new Canucks, with heavy screens, tips, and rebound goals. Flashy east-west plays will get broken up by the Islanders’ structure; north-south grinding is the only path to scoring, as was found to work against the Rangers. Crease and Slot!

Shelter the Blue Line

  • Without Hughes’ elite breakout ability, the transition game is Vancouver’s biggest weakness.
  • Simplicity is non-negotiable. The defensemen (Myers, Pettersson, Hronek) cannot try to be heroes. The wingers must come back deep to support breakouts. If the pass isn’t there, it has to be “off the glass or boards and out.”
  • Turnovers at the defensive blue line against the Islanders’ forecheck will be fatal. Greater than 50 percent defensive zone time will result in a Vancouver loss.

New York Islanders

Forecheck, check

  • Vancouver’s defense is currently a patchwork unit lacking its primary puck-mover.
  • The Islanders’ identity is their heavy forecheck. Islanders need to finish every check on Vancouver’s defenders. If they pressure the Canucks’ D-corps, and stay right on them, panic turnovers are inevitable. New York doesn’t need to be fancy; they just need to force Vancouver to play in their own end. The more time Canucks are in their end, the less offensive zone time they have, and fewer chances for high danger shot attempts on net.

Create Traffic, Traffic, Traffic

  • Demko is seeing the puck too well right now, as the Rangers found out in the Canucks last game
  • You cannot beat Demko cleanly from a distance when he is in this zone.
  • The Islanders must take away Demko’s eyes. A net-front presence in this league is required; they need to park in Demko’s lap and make life miserable for him.

Challenge Marco Rossi Early

  • Marco Rossi is the new top-line center for Vancouver, replacing the departed stars. He is skilled but smaller and was out for a while with the Wild, and is just back to playing again.
  • The Islanders’ centers (Horvat (if healthy to play)/Nelson) should look to physically dominate Rossi in the faceoff circle and along the boards.
  • If New York can neutralize Vancouver’s new primary playmaker early, the Canucks’ offence will have less engine power to drive it. If he can use his speed, he gives Vancouver a fighting chance. If he gets boxed out, the chances are the Canucks offence becomes that much more limited, unless others step up to assist.

Pacific Division Standings (as of 12/18/25)

Pacific DivisionWLOTLPTSDIFF
Golden Knights16610425
Ducks20122429
Oilers1612638-2
Kings1410937-3
Sharks1714337-11
Kraken1213630-21
Flames1317430-16
Canucks1317329-20

Western Conference Wild Card Standings (as of 12/18/25)

TEAMGPWLOTLPTSROWGFGADIFF
Avalanche33242755221337756
Stars34227549181159025
Wild34209545141048717
Golden Knights3216610421297925
Ducks342012242121211129
Oilers34161263811116118-2
Kings33141093798689-3
Sharks3417143379102113-11
Mammoth361716337131111065
Blues3513157331387123-36
Jets3315162321398100-2
Blackhawks3313146321293101-8
Kraken31121363077798-21
Predators331316430993115-22
Flames3413174301087103-16
Canucks331317329992112-20

Final Thoughts

The Canucks have won two straight games to start their 5-game Eastern road trip, and I am sure they are expected to take a tough 4-1 loss to a team that is locked in this season on their home ice, and will battle from start to finish, and refuse to yield an inch without a fight and mighty resistance.

But the first two games of the road trip had me reflect on past successful Canuck teams. The Canucks can win. In the long run, I feel if good people get involved, they will win more than they will lose.

Canucks Can Return To Past Success With More Change

The Vancouver Canucks can return to that past success by combining strong management, effective coaching systems, and a blend of veteran leadership and young talent development. This “formula” defined past successful teams, particularly the 2010–11 Presidents’ Trophy-winning squad that reached the Stanley Cup Final. But it also worked with the 1982 and 1994 teams, with some differences.

A New Era

The current team is now focused on rebuilding and developing a younger core to ensure a clearer path toward sustained competitiveness.

They aim to build a new identity through strategic asset development, moving off older veterans for prospects and draft picks, a process they hope will lead to long-term success, a playoff contender season in and season out, like the Tampa Bay Lightning, Florida Panthers, the Las Vegas Golden Knights, and Colorado Avalanche.

Key Ingredients of Past Success

Through my in-depth research on the Vancouver Canucks over the last four years, I have concluded the following about strong Canucks contender teams, which gave Canucks fans hope of coming so close to hoisting that most prized trophy in all of professional sports, the hardest trophy to win. The Stanley Cup.

Here goes:

  • Elite Goaltending: The most successful Canucks teams were anchored by world-class goaltenders like Richard Brodeur, Kirk McLean, Roberto Luongo and Thatcher Demko, whose elite performances and consistency provided a solid defensive foundation.
  • Talented Core: Success was built around a strong core of talent, most notably the Sedin twins (Henrik and Daniel), who consistently elevated their linemates and were perennial Art Ross and Hart Trophy candidates, winning them in back-to-back seasons. Other key players included two-way forward Ryan Kesler and standout defensemen. The 1982 and 1994 Stanley Cup Final Canucks teams had strong, talented cores, with talents, skills and a bonding and closeness that brought them so close to drinking out of the ultimate championship bowl.
  • Strong Management and Coaching: Effective management, such as under former GMs Pat Quinn and Mike Gillis, involved shrewd drafting, strategic trades, and adding crucial depth players. Coaching systems, like those implemented by Alain Vigneault, emphasized a balanced, offensive-minded approach with a focus on defensive responsibility and player development.
  • Resilience and Culture: Successful teams exhibited significant resilience and a strong work ethic, creating a winning culture that allowed players to thrive under pressure. This included an emphasis on fitness and conditioning, which allowed them to play an intense, demanding style.
  • Asset Management: Current management, led by Jim Rutherford and Patrik Allvin, is focusing on strategic asset management, leveraging a strong prospect pool to build a more sustainable future, avoiding the pitfalls of past short-sighted moves.

This Canucks team that is playing against the Islanders is part of a new era, a new beginning, that if the current management can do what they have done in Detroit, Carolina, and Pittsburgh, the Vancouver community could achieve something very special.

Time For Change

The culture has to change within the organization. So does the ownership.

In spite of certain ownership, in spite of some past management personnel, in spite of player feuds and player selfishness, success came to this club in the past years. All in despite of everything certain people did to stop it from happening.

Draft choices, NHL players, European players, hockey players from all countries, will only want to play in a city that is progressive, accepting, respectful, accomodating, safe, and prepared to support its team to become a contender, not a bottom feeder.

With things like a year round training facility, and amenities that invest in looking after its players, the players families, and staff; and acceptance of color, race and creed, exhibited in the employee base.

What good is it for the Vancouver Canucks to be worth billions of dollars on paper and be the worst team in the NHL in 2025? Is that picture representative of the organization, the ownership, the community, the province?

I ask you, why has the present ownership of the Canucks been satisfied with futility, losing, the loss of good players, the lack of interest in the professional hockey community to take the Canucks and its ownership seriously, as the years go by without a lasting playoff-contending team year, after year, after year?

Before the Province of British Columbia, the City of Vancouver and Francesco Aquilini continue to allow this hockey market to continue to struggle on its way to the bottom of other past struggling teams, and perhaps move, like the Vancouver Grizzles had to, I pray that everyone realizes before it’s too late, how this franchise has barely made it this far with selfish ownerships, some that have abused the team for personal and family gain.

The professional sports community in this province is largely, if not completely, based in the Lower Mainland. Professional sports are struggling. Talk of professional basketball or baseball moving into Western Canada, especially British Columbia. Not a chance in B.C. Even investment is questionable and risky.

It’s not like the Canucks are moving to Kelowna anytime soon, and setting up home. Maybe if the Lower Mainland gets a serious earthquake.

It’s time for a change.

Time for the Aquilini family to step down as team owners and sell the team to ownership that is prepared to put the NHL Vancouver Canucks first and foremost in word and deed, and no longer squeeze the life out of it, its community and fanbase.

I don’t want this country, this province to lose this sports franchise. Enough of reminiscing, dwelling on the past. Time to create a new future. And it has to begin by giving Rutherford and Allvin new ownership to help them accomplish that future building. Or this opportunity will be lost. And so will the team.

Until next time, hockey fans

NHL Players & Contract Extensions July 1st – What Will They Get?

By Shayna Goldman | The Athletic

July 1 is obviously a big day for free agents — not just the
current class, but also next year’s group. It marks the first
day that players a year away from free agency are eligible to
sign an extension.

Considering that next year’s class of unrestricted free agents
is headlined with star power and high-end talents, it won’t be
surprising to see teams try to pursue extensions sooner than
later. That adds another level of intrigue to the next year.

Here are 10 standout players set to hit unrestricted free
agency next summer to keep an eye on.

Auston Matthews

The contract situations of the Maple Leafs’ core forwards has
only raised the already high pressure in Toronto. Matthews is
nearing the end of a five-year deal that carries a $11.6
million cap hit. And considering the no-movement clause
that’s set to kick in on July 1, he has all of the control in this
situation.

If he pushes the contract conversation to summer,
or indicates that he doesn’t want to extend, Toronto can’t do
anything about it and could risk losing him for nothing.
That’s something that new general manager Brad Treliving
has to try to avoid, which is why it wouldn’t be surprising to
see them explore an extension as soon as possible.

But at
what cost, and term?
As it stands, he’s set to have the fourth-most-expensive cap
hit in the NHL in 2023-24. His actual salary, however, isn’t as
high. His front-loaded contract was worth $15.9 million in the
first year, and trended down to just under $8 million next
year.

Moving forward, it wouldn’t be surprising to see him
jump out as the highest-paid player in the league, ahead of
Nathan MacKinnon (who is starting an eight year contract
worth $12.6 million on average).

Evolving-Hockey’s projections have Matthews at a matching
deal a year ahead of reaching free agency, and another
strong year likely boosts that. Let’s say he takes a deal with
the same cap hit percentage as MacKinnon (15.3) — the cap
only going up by $1 million would land him at approximately
$13 million, on average. If the cap rises closer to $87.5
million, that goes up to $13.4 million.

But it’s possible he will
opt for a pricey short-term deal, and if he goes anywhere
near his value on the open market (which management
obviously wants to avoid), he could try to get that upwards of
$15 million.

That may create challenges elsewhere for the team,
obviously, because he’s not the only player who will be
looking for a raise.

William Nylander

On July 1, the Maple Leafs also will be contemplating
Nylander’s next contract. A year later, they’ll also be in a
similar situation with Mitch Marner (though they get the cap
relief of John Tavares’ contract expiring). That’s why the
pressure was even greater on Toronto this past year, and will
be next year, because these rising costs may cost them
elsewhere.

Nylander is on the most cap-friendly deal of the team’s core,
as it caries just a $6.9 million AAV. Despite some of the
drama around the signing at the time, it grades out as one of
Kyle Dubas’ best signings. But now there’s new
management in charge that is going to have to deal with
Nylander looking for a sizable raise to match his high-caliber
play.

It won’t be surprising to see that ask go to upward of $9
million a year, on average. That’s where The Athletic’s Dom
Luszczyszyn’s model has his average market value over the
next seven years coming in.

Evolving-Hockey, to compare,
projects an eight year deal (if Nylander were up for a deal
this summer) with a $9.6 million cap hit. That likely puts him
in a range closer to Filip Forsberg among the recent longterm
winger contracts around the league.

Sebastian Aho

Like Toronto, the Hurricanes have to start building an offer
for their number-one center, Aho.

He’s not going to be the
only player looking for a new deal, though — Carolina has a
number of free agents to worry about.

Teuvo Teravainen,
Brett Pesce and Brady Skeji will all need new deals, as will
RFAs Seth Jarvis and Marty Necas. They do, however, have
cap space to use on extensions, and Aho will likely continue
to take up the most space of the bunch.

That’s already the case right now, as Aho’s cap hit is just shy
of $8.5 million, because the Canes matched an offer sheet
form Montreal. Now, after years of strong two-way play for
the Hurricanes, that’s bound to increase.

If he were to be a
free agent this summer, Evolving-Hockey would have him
with an eight-year extension worth approximately $10.5
million. That’s pretty in line with his market value, per
Luszczyszyn’s model.

That would be a richer deal than the ones Carolina tends to
give out, but this is their franchise center.

Jake Guentzel

With new leadership running the show, Pittsburgh is facing a
tough task of trying to stay competitive during the next two
years of Sidney Crosby’s contract without completely burning
their future.

At the same time, management will have to start thinking
about Guentzel’s next deal, since his five-year contract,
worth $5 million on average, is expiring next summer. It
seems like a no-brainer to extend the team’s top winger,
especially if they want to compete in that last year of
Crosby’s deal.

An extension could very well make him the highest-paid
player on the team, if he’s looking at a deal that pays him
more than $9 million on average. But it’s also possible, to maintain cost-efficiency, that the Penguins try to keep him
below that benchmark.

Either way, Pittsburgh should have
the space, even in those later years, because they won’t
have a number of active contracts on the books by then.

Elias Lindholm

New general manager Craig Conroy has the task of
solidifying his center depth around Nazem Kadri and his
pricey contract over the next year.

Calgary’s two-way pivots,
Lindholm and Mikael Backlund, both have a year left on their
contracts.
Lindholm is in the last year of a very cost-effective contract, a
six-year deal with a $4.9 million cap hit. There may be a
bigger gap between what the player should be worth on the
market and what he may sign for.

Evolving-Hockey projects
a max-term, eight-year deal worth $8.7 million a year on
average. That would make Bo Horvat, Dylan Larkin and Mika
Zibanejad very close comparables on his next deal.

Recent center contracts may prop up Lindholm’s ask, but the
Flames should want to knock it a bit lower based on what he
projects to be over the years. Plus, there’s a number of other
expiring contracts they have to balance in 2024.

Jonathan Marchessault

A Stanley Cup championship and a Conn Smythe Trophy for
Marchessault, a year ahead of his contract expiring, sure is
timely if he wants to talk about an early extension.

Marchessalt probably isn’t going to be signed to some
massive, expensive contract, since this next deal will kick in
when he’s 33.

Evolving-Hockey projects a four year deal
worth a $6.6 million AAV. That’s a slight raise from what he’s
currently making, and would take up slightly more cap space.
Even though it’s more than what he’s worth over the next few
years, it’s a deal that he more than likely could get in free
agency next summer as long as his game doesn’t completely
tank next season.

Considering his value to the team, it wouldn’t be surprising to
see the Golden Knights prioritize keeping one of their original
misfits. But there’s only so much spending room considering
their tendencies, plus Chandler Stephenson also needs a
contract at the same time as Marchessault.

On the other
hand, it wouldn’t be surprising to see the winger take a more
cost-effective deal, considering the fact that Vegas is the one
team he’s played on that has valued him as a mainstay
player.

Devon Toews

Shifting to the blue line, Toews is set to be one of the top
defensemen on the free-agent market.

Considering
Colorado’s cap situation, there’s a legitimate chance he will
reach the open market.
The Avalanche have a lot invested in their core players —
approximately $38 million between MacKinnon, Mikko
Rantanen, Gabriel Landeskog and Cale Makar.

The trouble
they face this summer is that they have only five forwards
and five defenders under contract, without a ton of space to
maneuver through. And if Landeskog’s recovery goes
according to plan and he can return for 2024-25, that’s cap
relief Colorado will lose when they need to extend Toews.

Toews is on an excellent contract right now, one that costs
just $4.1 million in space for an elite defenseman. That’s less
than half of his market value over the next seven years,
which Luszczyszyn’s model has at approximately $10.6
million.

Even if the defenseman signs closer to EvolvingHockey’s
projection for him (eight years at approximately
$8.1 million if he were to be a free agent this summer), it
likely takes some work to make space for him.

Maybe there’s a greater emphasis on entry-level talent or
minimum salaries around the core than there already was.
Or maybe bigger contracts, outside the core, will get moved
to clear space.

Brandon Montour

Montour is coming off a career year that got highlighted on a
national stage during the Panthers’ run to the Stanley Cup
Final.

His offensive impact pushed him up the depth chart in
Florida, and that should get him paid accordingly at some
point in the next year. It’s possible that the Panthers first
want to see if he can duplicate this season before committing
to him long-term.

On the flip side, they run the risk of waiting
too long, and his cost rising, if he does play like a true toppair
defender.

The Panthers will free up some space this summer with
Patric Hörnqvist’s contract expiring, and will shed a bit more
if Radko Gudas leaves as a free agent.

Plus there’s ways to
clear even more with someone like Sam Bennett or Sam
Reinhart.

Montour won’t be their only UFA in 2024, not even
on defense with Gustav Forsling’s deal expiring.

Still, Florida
should find a way to have the space for Montour — unless
they somehow swing a big deal and invest it in another top
defenseman.

Connor Hellebuyck

True number one goaltenders are hard to come by, and two
will be UFAs next summer. But their situations really differ.

Hellebuyck, who is in the last year of a six-year contract that
carries a $6.2 annaul cap hit, is almost certainly not sticking
around in Winnipeg. The elite goalie probably will be traded
elsewhere before his deal expires.

Maybe Winnipeg will look
for a sign-and-trade deal to maximize the return and help
facilitate this process.

There’s a number of teams that should be interested in
Hellebuyck and look to sign him — especially with the
confidence of knowing that he can manage playing behind a
bad defensive team.

But what could a deal look like? There’s
fewer examples to draw on, but a true number one like
Andrei Vasilevskiy, who signed an eight-year deal carrying a
$9.5 million cap hit, may be somewhat of a model for this
deal.

That being said, there’s an age difference that may give a
team some pause; Vasilevskiy signed that contract at age
25, while Hellebuyck will be 31 when his new deal starts. The
Sergei Bobrovsky contract may be one that sways teams
away from massive contracts to goalies after they’re 30
years old.

Ilya Sorokin

While Hellebuyck probably won’t stay with his current team,
Sorokin more than likely will.

His three-year, $12 million contract will be expiring after a Vezina-caliber year, and the
Islanders need their number one.

The trouble for the Islanders is that their long-term salary cap
picture will continue to fill up with what is bound to be a big
contract for Sorokin.

Evolving-Hockey projects similar eightyear
deals for him and Hellebuyck, with cap hits of
approximately $9 million. While the team probably doesn’t
want a logjam down the line, the later years probably won’t
be Lou Lamoriello’s concern.

The real question is whether Lamoriello’s old-school ways
somehow will push his contract value below what it should
be. Only one player on the Islanders makes $9 million, on
average, per year. Maybe the fact that he doesn’t have as
much experience playing at an elite level, like Hellebuyck
does, hurts him. But the fact that he’ll be two years younger
when it starts should help.

Honorable mentions: Jake DeBrusk, Brett Pesce, Brady
Skjei, Noah Hanifin, Mikeal Backlund, Jordan Eberle, Steven
Stamkos.

Source: Carolina Hurricanes